Research

2017

Updating Supreme Court Legitimacy: Testing the ’Rule, Learn, Update’ Model of
Political Communication“, with James L. Gibson and Jeffrey Ziegler, Washington University in St. Louis, American Politics Research.                                                                           Replication files

2016

Strategic voting in local elections: evidence from Portugal (1979–2013)“, with Jorge Fernandes and Carolina PlesciaJournal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 26(3): 312-335.

2011

As sondagens e os resultados eleitorais em Portugal” [Pre-election Polls and Electoral Results in Portugal], with Pedro Magalhães and Luis Aguiar-ConrariaBoletim da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, Spring 2011: 37-52.

‘Se as eleições fossem hoje’: Factores de erro das sondagens presidenciais em regimes semipresidenciais” [‘If elections were held today’: Sources of error in presidential polls in semipresidential systems], a revised version will appear in Conceição Pequito (ed.), Manual de Política Comparada: o sistema político português em perspectiva comparada, Lisboa: Princípia Editora.

Working Papers

“Do Voters Discount Political Scandals Over Time?” (with Nick Waterbury, Washington University in St. Louis).

“Do Parties Respond Strategically to Opinion Polls? Evidence from Campaign Messages” (with José Santana-Pereira, Universidade de Lisboa).

“The Effect of Charitable Donations in Incentivizing Public Officials.” (with Daniel Butler, Washington University in St. Louis).

“How does Partisanship Influence Policy Diffusion?” (with Daniel Butler, Washington University in St. Louis).

“Assigning Responsibility to Non-Elected Bodies: International Bailouts in the European Union”.

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